Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.355254 0.388046 0.422977 0.463035 0.507800 0.556394 0.613283
2026-01-04 0.304349 0.350810 0.403657 0.468563 0.546606 0.638013 0.754046
2026-01-11 0.273307 0.326546 0.389838 0.471333 0.574499 0.702119 0.874082
2026-01-18 0.250376 0.307743 0.378383 0.472874 0.597648 0.759196 0.988207
2026-01-25 0.233479 0.293979 0.370755 0.476906 0.622378 0.818537 1.109720
2026-02-01 0.214447 0.275416 0.354734 0.467468 0.626878 0.849431 1.193263
2026-02-08 0.202444 0.264899 0.348085 0.469479 0.646406 0.901944 1.312678
2026-02-15 0.190219 0.253004 0.338381 0.465920 0.656913 0.941376 1.415513
2026-02-22 0.181179 0.244754 0.332930 0.467654 0.674783 0.992721 1.542116
2026-03-01 0.170976 0.234118 0.323220 0.462085 0.680628 1.025274 1.640626
2026-03-08 0.161376 0.223712 0.313077 0.454915 0.683021 1.051947 1.731329
2026-03-15 0.150794 0.211247 0.299088 0.440712 0.672775 1.056452 1.782490
2026-03-22 0.146581 0.208083 0.298986 0.448501 0.699450 1.126336 1.963401
2026-03-29 0.142054 0.204181 0.297498 0.453920 0.722563 1.192281 2.145923
2026-04-05 0.137252 0.199554 0.294537 0.456584 0.740946 1.251244 2.322317
2026-04-12 0.132560 0.194819 0.291076 0.458066 0.757184 1.307555 2.500741
2026-04-19 0.128723 0.191206 0.289158 0.461945 0.777894 1.374137 2.710301
2026-04-26 0.122517 0.183500 0.280144 0.452866 0.773874 1.391973 2.814447
2026-05-03 0.118907 0.179798 0.277510 0.454800 0.790605 1.452637 3.024991
2026-05-10 0.114521 0.174614 0.272107 0.451377 0.796682 1.491943 3.190821
2026-05-17 0.111346 0.171270 0.269621 0.453045 0.812742 1.553575 3.420543
2026-05-24 0.107127 0.165995 0.263555 0.447686 0.814298 1.584103 3.576337
2026-05-31 0.102896 0.160523 0.256887 0.440787 0.812158 1.606222 3.713588